Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.005200 0.005727 0.006297 0.006962 0.007718 0.008555 0.009556
2025-10-12 0.004399 0.005139 0.006001 0.007091 0.008444 0.010087 0.012261
2025-10-19 0.003854 0.004673 0.005677 0.007014 0.008777 0.011063 0.014320
2025-10-26 0.003474 0.004337 0.005434 0.006961 0.009074 0.011970 0.016366
2025-11-02 0.003158 0.004036 0.005188 0.006849 0.009246 0.012688 0.018220
2025-11-09 0.002949 0.003850 0.005066 0.006878 0.009597 0.013682 0.020621
2025-11-16 0.002741 0.003643 0.004891 0.006803 0.009771 0.014414 0.022706
2025-11-23 0.002538 0.003425 0.004678 0.006645 0.009789 0.014887 0.024412
2025-11-30 0.002424 0.003324 0.004623 0.006714 0.010167 0.015986 0.027420
2025-12-07 0.002363 0.003293 0.004666 0.006938 0.010815 0.017628 0.031773
2025-12-14 0.002228 0.003142 0.004514 0.006829 0.010884 0.018236 0.034171
2025-12-21 0.002097 0.002990 0.004349 0.006684 0.010867 0.018678 0.036297
2025-12-28 0.002000 0.002888 0.004261 0.006673 0.011114 0.019705 0.040064
2026-01-04 0.001937 0.002834 0.004249 0.006793 0.011623 0.021346 0.045745
2026-01-11 0.001841 0.002723 0.004135 0.006721 0.011751 0.022214 0.049746
2026-01-18 0.001759 0.002627 0.004039 0.006670 0.011915 0.023181 0.054286
2026-01-25 0.001673 0.002522 0.003918 0.006564 0.011952 0.023867 0.058243
2026-02-01 0.001617 0.002462 0.003872 0.006592 0.012268 0.025253 0.064721
2026-02-08 0.001549 0.002378 0.003778 0.006521 0.012364 0.026125 0.069900
2026-02-15 0.001474 0.002278 0.003650 0.006371 0.012270 0.026506 0.073600
2026-02-22 0.001436 0.002241 0.003631 0.006437 0.012668 0.028227 0.082636
2026-03-01 0.001421 0.002242 0.003682 0.006649 0.013427 0.031068 0.097162
2026-03-08 0.001364 0.002166 0.003585 0.006546 0.013430 0.031804 0.103683